Current Intrade odds for the 2012 election: Obama (48.6%) vs. any Republican candidate (48.7%), basically a "dead heat" (see chart).
For other Intrade contracts: Bachmann is down to 1.2% (from 18% in July), Gingrich is up to 3% (from 1% a month ago), Herman Cain is steady at 7-8% for the last month, Perry is steady at 15% for the last 10 days but down from 35% a month ago, and Romney is still the front-runner holding steady at 67% and up from 35% a month ago.
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